Category Archives: Uncategorized

Storm Desmond – Scotland’s first red flood risk

Over the weekend of 5 – 6 December 2015 Storm Desmond – the fourth UK named storm of the winter season – brought damaging winds and heavy rain across Scotland, which experienced its most severe flood event since the advent … Continue reading

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The Scottish Flood Forecasting Service: 2014 in review

The decorations are up and the Christmas presents are wrapped but before we leave the SFFS in the hands of our dedicated meteorologists and duty flood forecasting hydrologists over the festive period, there’s just time to review what has been … Continue reading

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Forecasting from Sea to Shore (Part 2): Forecasting flooding from waves

In a previous post we discussed what lessons should be learned from the winter storms of 2013-14 and how any recommendations should be taken forward and developed in the future. In Scotland, forecasting waves is a relatively new endeavour and … Continue reading

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Staying alert in rain or shine

Last summer our Met Office coordinator Pete Buchanan produced a couple of articles about surface water flooding. In the second article he explained how our Heavy Rainfall Alert (HRA) Tool works. Here he gives us an update on further development of … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication, Surface Water, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Forecasts for the December 2013 Dumfriesshire Floods

Recovery activities are under way following the floods that badly affected parts of Dumfries and Galloway on Monday 29th December. Seven were rescued from their farmhouse after the River Nith flooded large parts of Nithsdale and Dumfries.  Flooding started in … Continue reading

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Tracking medium range flow forecasts from day to day

One of the challenges we face in the forecasting service when looking at flow outputs modelled from high resolution rainfall forecasts is knowing when to act – Just because we see a realistic looking peak on a forecast at day … Continue reading

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Forecasting with higher resolution rainfall forecasts; this winter’s first test

The flood forecasting service has been using Met Office ‘BestData’ rainfall forecasts in its hydrological forecasts since summer 2013. For deterministic forecasts this is a fairly straightforward amalgamation of gridded 1.5km UKV to 36 hours, and 4km Euro4 data out to 120 … Continue reading

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High Impact Weather: Working in Partnership

Day 1 at the European Meteorological Society annual conference and one of the key messages from John Hirst’s opening keynote speech was for the need for clear, joined up, communication of the risk of severe weather impacts. This Reading-based EMS event … Continue reading

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