Category Archives: Forecasting

The challenges of the mountain environment to flood forecasting

In the penultimate account in a series of articles on how the mountains of Scotland influence our approach to monitoring and flood forecasting, Mike Reading from the Met Office writes about the challenges of mountain forecasting. “In Scotland, we face … Continue reading

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A look back on a decade of challenges and achievements for the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service

In this article, we take a retrospective view on a decade of challenges and achievements for the flood forecasting service with some of the many people who have made it a success. A period when Bertha, Ciara, Desmond, Dennis and … Continue reading

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Operational forecasting and hazard early warning systems: Call for Abstracts at #vEGU21!

With a couple of weeks to go before the EGU abstract deadline (13th Jan. 2021, 13.00 CET), it’s time to consider submitting that abstract! If you working in the field of operational forecasting and warning for hazards then consider this … Continue reading

Posted in Conference, EGU, Forecasting, Natural Hazards | 1 Comment

Exploring an impact-based approach to flood forecasting

As we’ve previously reported on here, many parts of the North and West Highlands of Scotland can be spared major flooding impacts even when significant rainfall (100 to 200 mm) can fall. In October 2018, although the town of Oban … Continue reading

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Operational Forecasting Across the Globe: Sharing Science at EGU20

For several years the ‘operational forecasting and warning systems‘ PICO session has been a popular feature of the EGU hydrological sciences program.  However, with restrictions on travel and meetings in place due to Covid-19, the whole of the 2020 Assembly … Continue reading

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World Meteorological Day 2019

Happy World Meteorological Day! Saturday 23 March is World Meteorological Day 2019 and this year the World Meteorological Organisation has named the theme – ‘The Sun, the Earth and the Weather’. In the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service (SFFS) the weather services are provided … Continue reading

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Medium Range Outlook for the Flood Guidance Statement

Since its inception in 2011 the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service has provided forecasts of flood risk out to five days, by way of the Flood Guidance Statement sent to the emergency response community. Since then the scope and accuracy of … Continue reading

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Review of 2017-18 EFAS Messages

As reported in the article on the 13th annual meeting of the European Flood Awareness System partners, SEPA and the forecasting service are part of this international forecasting initiative, and receive notifications when flooding is expected. As part of our … Continue reading

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Summer river flooding in Scotland

It had been a fairly quiet few months for the operational side of the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service, before heavy rain struck much of the country at the start of June, causing some significant flooding in the north east, and … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Snowmelt forecasting capability within Grid-to-Grid

The formation and melting of snow can be a key component of river flows in the UK, particularly in upland areas. Different configurations of the countrywide Grid-to-Grid (G2G) model are used to deliver the snowmelt component, using different approaches for … Continue reading

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