Category Archives: Forecasting
Life on the edge of extreme natural hazards in remote northern Europe
As previously reported, the NERC-funded EMERGE Project has brought together scientists, researchers and early warning specialists from across Iceland, Norway and Scotland including the Scottish Environment Protection Agency. Following successful exploratory workshops in Oslo (May 2022) and Glasgow (March 2023), … Continue reading
Surface water flood forecasting: where next?
In August this year, SEPA published its new Flood Warning Development Framework. The framework defines the direction of travel for flood forecasting and warning services in Scotland with the aims to maintain and improve existing, and deliver new, operational flood … Continue reading
Multi-hazards and emergent risks in Northern Europe’s remote regions: Oslo workshop
Partners of the NERC Science Project EMERGE recently met in Oslo to share experience and challenges in tackling multi-hazards and emergent risks such as extreme rainfall and landslides. The project, led by the University of Strathclyde, has European partners SEPA, … Continue reading
The challenges of the mountain environment to flood forecasting
In the penultimate account in a series of articles on how the mountains of Scotland influence our approach to monitoring and flood forecasting, Mike Reading from the Met Office writes about the challenges of mountain forecasting. “In Scotland, we face … Continue reading
A look back on a decade of challenges and achievements for the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service
In this article, we take a retrospective view on a decade of challenges and achievements for the flood forecasting service with some of the many people who have made it a success. A period when Bertha, Ciara, Desmond, Dennis and … Continue reading
Operational forecasting and hazard early warning systems: Call for Abstracts at #vEGU21!
With a couple of weeks to go before the EGU abstract deadline (13th Jan. 2021, 13.00 CET), it’s time to consider submitting that abstract! If you working in the field of operational forecasting and warning for hazards then consider this … Continue reading
Exploring an impact-based approach to flood forecasting
As we’ve previously reported on here, many parts of the North and West Highlands of Scotland can be spared major flooding impacts even when significant rainfall (100 to 200 mm) can fall. In October 2018, although the town of Oban … Continue reading
Operational Forecasting Across the Globe: Sharing Science at EGU20
For several years the ‘operational forecasting and warning systems‘ PICO session has been a popular feature of the EGU hydrological sciences program. However, with restrictions on travel and meetings in place due to Covid-19, the whole of the 2020 Assembly … Continue reading
World Meteorological Day 2019
Happy World Meteorological Day! Saturday 23 March is World Meteorological Day 2019 and this year the World Meteorological Organisation has named the theme – ‘The Sun, the Earth and the Weather’. In the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service (SFFS) the weather services are provided … Continue reading
Medium Range Outlook for the Flood Guidance Statement
Since its inception in 2011 the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service has provided forecasts of flood risk out to five days, by way of the Flood Guidance Statement sent to the emergency response community. Since then the scope and accuracy of … Continue reading
Scottish Flood Forecasting Service 