Category Archives: Forecasting

Review of 2017-18 EFAS Messages

As reported in the article on the 13th annual meeting of the European Flood Awareness System partners, SEPA and the forecasting service are part of this international forecasting initiative, and receive notifications when flooding is expected. As part of our … Continue reading

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Summer river flooding in Scotland

It had been a fairly quiet few months for the operational side of the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service, before heavy rain struck much of the country at the start of June, causing some significant flooding in the north east, and … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Snowmelt forecasting capability within Grid-to-Grid

The formation and melting of snow can be a key component of river flows in the UK, particularly in upland areas. Different configurations of the countrywide Grid-to-Grid (G2G) model are used to deliver the snowmelt component, using different approaches for … Continue reading

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EFAS annual meeting in the Netherlands

Louise Parry recently attended the annual EFAS Partners meeting on behalf of SEPA and the forecasting service. She sends the following report. In March this year the Annual European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) Partners meeting took place in De Bilt, near … Continue reading

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Storm Frank On Tour

Operationally it has been a fairly quiet last 12 months or so for the forecasting service. The interest in the events of winter 2015-16 still continues, however, particularly the floods resulting from Storm Frank at the very end of 2015. … Continue reading

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Hydrologists make the water go round – BHS international conference

I recently attended the 2016 international conference of the British Hydrological Society, at Cranfield University. There were a number of broad themes, including flood risk and water resource management, with most of the first day being given over to presentations … Continue reading

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High Impact Weather and Climate Conference

High Impact Weather and Climate was the subject of the conference held by Royal Meteorological Society and National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Manchester last week. Members of the forecasting service attended, along with many colleagues from … Continue reading

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Challenges and innovation towards the prediction of natural hazards

The 2016 European Geosciences Union General Assembly saw us co-convene our second PICO (Presenting Interactive Content) session on operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards. Along with several other sessions in hydrological forecasting there were plenty of take home … Continue reading

Posted in EGU, Flood, Forecasting, Natural Hazards | 1 Comment

SFFS at the EFAS Annual Meeting, April 2016

The flood forecasting service in Scotland is a partner of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS); a EU Joint Research Centre (JRC) service which provides probabilistic flood forecast information to more than 48 member organisations across Europe based on the … Continue reading

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Storm Frank-Short Range Forecast Performance

On the 30th December, 2015, new maximum peak levels were recorded on the Rivers Cree, Dee and upper Tweed due to rainfall which fell overnight from the 29th to the 30th December associated with Storm Frank; an unusually deep area … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 2 Comments