Category Archives: Weather prediction

World Meteorological Day 2019

Happy World Meteorological Day! Saturday 23 March is World Meteorological Day 2019 and this year the World Meteorological Organisation has named the theme – ‘The Sun, the Earth and the Weather’. In the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service (SFFS) the weather services are provided … Continue reading

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Storm Frank-Short Range Forecast Performance

On the 30th December, 2015, new maximum peak levels were recorded on the Rivers Cree, Dee and upper Tweed due to rainfall which fell overnight from the 29th to the 30th December associated with Storm Frank; an unusually deep area … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 2 Comments

Storm Frank – how was the medium range flood guidance?

The rainfall associated with Storm Frank on 30 December 2015 caused some of the most severe flooding seen in Scotland for many years, particularly along the river Dee in Aberdeenshire and the rivers Cree and Nith in Dumfries and Galloway, … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Risk communication, Uncategorized, Weather prediction | 2 Comments

Storm Desmond – Scotland’s first red flood risk

Over the weekend of 5 – 6 December 2015 Storm Desmond – the fourth UK named storm of the winter season – brought damaging winds and heavy rain across Scotland, which experienced its most severe flood event since the advent … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Uncategorized, Weather prediction | 2 Comments

The July Perthshire floods: hydrometeorological predictions

A major clean-up operation is underway following flooding that affected some Perthshire communities on the 17th July 2015. Villages such as Bankfoot were affected and surface water flooding was seen across much of the road network; however the flooding impacts were most … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

The Climatology of Scotland – four seasons in one day?

Martyn Sunter contributes the first of a two-part feature on the climatology and hydrology of Scotland. Having worked for the Met Office in Scotland since 1994 I have experienced the challenges of monitoring and forecasting our interesting weather and climate. Here … Continue reading

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Game over?

Article by Peter Buchanan, Met Office On Tuesday 15 July 2014, the Met Office implemented ‘ENDGame’ physics into the dynamical core of its global atmospheric forecast model. This was the culmination of many years of research and development and two … Continue reading

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Radar coverage and suitability for flood forecasting in Scotland

Radar is a powerful tool for observing rainfall over large areas in real time. It is also used to produce nowcasts (short range forecasts for the next 6 hours) which are used to provide flood warnings for rapidly responding catchments such … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Radar, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Extreme(?) rainfall in the West Highlands – a flood forecasting challenge

Over the past few days the forecasting service has faced an interesting challenge. Large amounts of rain were forecast to fall in north west Scotland, caused by warm moist air being driven by gale force winds over the high ground … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 2 Comments

Behind the flood guidance: a meteorologist’s perspective

Peter Sloss, one of the Met Office forecasters involved in the flood forecasting service, provides in inside view of the developing hydrometeorological service capabilities. “Weather forecasting and more specifically rainfall forecasting was so much simpler way back then, even going … Continue reading

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