Category Archives: Flood

Hydrometeorological forecasting and ex-tropical storm Bertha

On Monday 11th August, the remnants of the ex-tropical storm Bertha brought heavy and very intense rain for many parts of northern Scotland. Early indications are that over 100 mm of rain was recorded over a 12 to 16 hour … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 3 Comments

Operational surface water flood forecasting model for Glasgow now live

After 18 months of hard work from ourselves, CEH Wallingford, Deltares, Met Office and the James Hutton Institute, our Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model is now operational (previous updates available here and here). We believe this is the UK’s … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Surface Water | 5 Comments

Staying alert in rain or shine

Last summer our Met Office coordinator Pete Buchanan produced a couple of articles about surface water flooding. In the second article he explained how our Heavy Rainfall Alert (HRA) Tool works. Here he gives us an update on further development of … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication, Surface Water, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Coupling meteorological and hydrological forecasting models: the Canadian case

In June 2013 the city of Calgary and state of Alberta witnessed devastating flooding with four fatalities and over 100,000 people evacuated from their homes. It’s difficult to comprehend flooding on this scale in Scotland but comparing this to the … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Surface water flood alerting: project update

In May we started a project to develop a pilot surface water alerting tool to use during the Commonwealth Games and to help inform our future plans for surface water flood forecasting in the SFFS. The first review stage of … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Research, Surface Water, Weather prediction | 4 Comments

Tracking medium range flow forecasts from day to day

One of the challenges we face in the forecasting service when looking at flow outputs modelled from high resolution rainfall forecasts is knowing when to act – Just because we see a realistic looking peak on a forecast at day … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrology, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Recent flood impacts and forecasts: how well did we do?

You don’t have to look very far over the past few weeks to find people complaining about being caught out by heavy rainfall and flash flooding that wasn’t forecast, however the forecast from the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service and the … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Surface Water | Leave a comment

Surface water flood alerting for the Commonwealth Games

Following the previous posts on flash flood forecasting, the next step is to investigate how recent advances in the science of forecasting heavy rain shower events could be translated into a surface water alerting tool for responders. Surface water (or pluvial) flooding occurs … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Research, Surface Water | 6 Comments

Conference Season

At the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service we are continually developing our tools and knowledge as we strive to be at the forefront of flood forecasting science. You can hear more about our development work at a number of conferences and … Continue reading

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Identifying Flood Hazards in Real Time

SFFS currently have the capability to forecast flows “everywhere” in Scotland, at a 1km grid scale up to five days ahead, using the Grid to Grid model. This includes calculation of snow fall and melt, and the production of probabilistic … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrology, Risk communication | 2 Comments