Category Archives: G2G

Hydrometeorological forecasting and ex-tropical storm Bertha

On Monday 11th August, the remnants of the ex-tropical storm Bertha brought heavy and very intense rain for many parts of northern Scotland. Early indications are that over 100 mm of rain was recorded over a 12 to 16 hour … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 3 Comments

Operational surface water flood forecasting model for Glasgow now live

After 18 months of hard work from ourselves, CEH Wallingford, Deltares, Met Office and the James Hutton Institute, our Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model is now operational (previous updates available here and here). We believe this is the UK’s … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Surface Water | 5 Comments

Surface water flood alerting: project update

In May we started a project to develop a pilot surface water alerting tool to use during the Commonwealth Games and to help inform our future plans for surface water flood forecasting in the SFFS. The first review stage of … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Research, Surface Water, Weather prediction | 4 Comments

Tracking medium range flow forecasts from day to day

One of the challenges we face in the forecasting service when looking at flow outputs modelled from high resolution rainfall forecasts is knowing when to act – Just because we see a realistic looking peak on a forecast at day … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrology, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Forecasting with higher resolution rainfall forecasts; this winter’s first test

The flood forecasting service has been using Met Office ‘BestData’ rainfall forecasts in its hydrological forecasts since summer 2013. For deterministic forecasts this is a fairly straightforward amalgamation of gridded 1.5km UKV to 36 hours, and 4km Euro4 data out to 120 … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, G2G, Probabilistic, Risk communication, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Hydrometeorological science: forecasting in rapid response catchments

The problem of flash flooding from highland rivers is one with which the village of Comrie is all too familiar.  More than 100 homes were evacuated in storms in August 2012 and once again that year in November.  Some flood … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, G2G, Probabilistic, Research | Leave a comment

Identifying Flood Hazards in Real Time

SFFS currently have the capability to forecast flows “everywhere” in Scotland, at a 1km grid scale up to five days ahead, using the Grid to Grid model. This includes calculation of snow fall and melt, and the production of probabilistic … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrology, Risk communication | 2 Comments