Category Archives: Forecasting

The July Perthshire floods: hydrometeorological predictions

Posted on July 23, 2015 by michaeldcranston

A major clean-up operation is underway following flooding that affected some Perthshire communities on the 17th July 2015. Villages such as Bankfoot were affected and surface water flooding was seen across much of the road network; however the flooding impacts were most … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Surface Water Flooding in Aberdeen

Posted on July 10, 2015 by Richard Maxey

As noted in previous articles surface water flooding can be challenging to forecast. On Tuesday 7th July a period of intense rainfall over Aberdeen and the surrounding area led to significant surface water flooding. The forecasting service was able to … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Surface Water | 2 Comments

The European Flood Awareness System – 2015 annual meeting

Posted on May 20, 2015 by Richard Maxey

Last month I attended the 10th annual partners meeting of the European Flood Awareness System, of which the forecasting service is a member. EFAS provides forecasts across Europe, using a gridded LISFLOOD model fed by deterministic and probabilistic rainfall forecasts from ECMWF. Alerts … Continue reading →

Posted in Conference, Forecasting, Partnerships, Research | Leave a comment

Natural hazards: prediction and early warning on various scales

Posted on April 26, 2015 by michaeldcranston

The 2015 General Assembly of the European Geoscience Union provided an opportunity to share challenges and innovation in the prediction and early warning of natural hazards.  Although flooding was a key topic area, other hazards featured which all have synergies  across the … Continue reading →

Posted in EGU, Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Natural Hazards, Research | Leave a comment

Game over?

Posted on April 21, 2015 by michaeldcranston

Article by Peter Buchanan, Met Office On Tuesday 15 July 2014, the Met Office implemented ‘ENDGame’ physics into the dynamical core of its global atmospheric forecast model. This was the culmination of many years of research and development and two … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, Research, Weather prediction | Leave a comment

Hydrological Forecasting and Natural Hazards at EGU 2015

Posted on April 8, 2015 by michaeldcranston

Attending the European Geosciences Union Assembly this year?  If you’re a first-time visitor to the event, which attracts over 12,000 delegates, then check out the GeoLog’s guide on what to expect. If you are attending then why not join us in our Thursday morning session … Continue reading →

Posted in Conference, EGU, Forecasting, Natural Hazards | Leave a comment

Grid-to-Grid performance during a hydrologically significant event in the North West

Posted on March 13, 2015 by Richard Maxey

Following the West Highland heavy rainfall event of last October the forecasting service recently had to again respond to a forecast of potentially extreme rainfall in a similar area over the past few days. The rainfall event was well forecast with … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Risk communication | 1 Comment

The December ‘weather bomb’ – over-warned or better prepared?

Posted on December 18, 2014 by Richard Maxey

Recently the flood forecasting service had to contend with the potential impacts of the so called weather bomb. Explosive cyclogenesis – a weather phenomenon which results in rapidly deepening low pressure – occured to the south of Greenland and gave rise … Continue reading →

Posted in Coastal, Forecasting, Risk communication | 1 Comment

Radar coverage and suitability for flood forecasting in Scotland

Posted on November 3, 2014 by lindaspeight

Radar is a powerful tool for observing rainfall over large areas in real time. It is also used to produce nowcasts (short range forecasts for the next 6 hours) which are used to provide flood warnings for rapidly responding catchments such … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Radar, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Extreme(?) rainfall in the West Highlands – a flood forecasting challenge

Posted on October 29, 2014 by Richard Maxey

Over the past few days the forecasting service has faced an interesting challenge. Large amounts of rain were forecast to fall in north west Scotland, caused by warm moist air being driven by gale force winds over the high ground … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Risk communication, Weather prediction | 2 Comments