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- Exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for flood forecasting in Scotland
- Impact-based forecasting, AI and communicating uncertainties: opportunities for forecasting and warning
- New surface water flood forecasting tool for Scotland now operational.
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- Surface water flood forecasting: where next?
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Category Archives: Surface Water
New surface water flood forecasting tool for Scotland now operational.
Jamie Rae, Senior Scientist with the flood forecasting service, explains the work that has been going into enhancing our surface water flood forecasting capabilities: As we previously reported on here, In 2022, SEPA published its Flood Warning Development Framework for … Continue reading
Posted in Forecasting, Probabilistic, SFFS, Surface Water
Tagged environment, Forecasting, news, Research, weather
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Surface water flood forecasting: where next?
In August this year, SEPA published its new Flood Warning Development Framework. The framework defines the direction of travel for flood forecasting and warning services in Scotland with the aims to maintain and improve existing, and deliver new, operational flood … Continue reading
Posted in Communications, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Partnerships, Research, SFFS, Surface Water
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Exploring an impact-based approach to flood forecasting
As we’ve previously reported on here, many parts of the North and West Highlands of Scotland can be spared major flooding impacts even when significant rainfall (100 to 200 mm) can fall. In October 2018, although the town of Oban … Continue reading
Posted in Forecasting, Partnerships, Research, Surface Water
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Royal Meteorology Society Award for the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service
Scientists from Met Office and SEPA working within the forecasting service have been recognised at the Royal Meteorological Society Awards for their work on the ‘Surface Water Flood forecasting in Urban Communities’ project. They, along with their colleagues from The … Continue reading
Review of 2017-18 EFAS Messages
As reported in the article on the 13th annual meeting of the European Flood Awareness System partners, SEPA and the forecasting service are part of this international forecasting initiative, and receive notifications when flooding is expected. As part of our … Continue reading
Posted in EFAS, Forecasting, Surface Water
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Heavy Rainfall Alerts – latest advances
In order to provide probabilistic forecasts of flooding from surface water the forecasting service has been using a Heavy Rainfall Alert (HRA) tool since 2013, as discussed in a previous article. The tool consists of a spreadsheet that is updated … Continue reading
Surface Water Flooding in Aberdeen
As noted in previous articles surface water flooding can be challenging to forecast. On Tuesday 7th July a period of intense rainfall over Aberdeen and the surrounding area led to significant surface water flooding. The forecasting service was able to … Continue reading
Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Surface Water
2 Comments
#FRMis10: Future flood risk management strategies
When the inaugural SNIFFER Flood Risk Management conference was convened in 2005 many of the current approaches to flood risk management were very much in their infancy – if at all conceived. 10 years on and the ‘FRMis10’ conference agenda– … Continue reading
Posted in Coastal, Conference, Flood, Partnerships, Research, Risk communication, Surface Water
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Surface water flood forecasting during the Commonwealth Games
We are pleased to report that the Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model ran successfully during the Commonwealth Games and throughout the summer. Luckily the weather during the Games was largely fine however there were occasions when the additional surface … Continue reading
Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Surface Water
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Operational surface water flood forecasting model for Glasgow now live
After 18 months of hard work from ourselves, CEH Wallingford, Deltares, Met Office and the James Hutton Institute, our Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model is now operational (previous updates available here and here). We believe this is the UK’s … Continue reading
Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Surface Water
5 Comments