Category Archives: Risk communication

High Impact Weather: Working in Partnership

Day 1 at the European Meteorological Society annual conference and one of the key messages from John Hirst’s opening keynote speech was for the need for clear, joined up, communication of the risk of severe weather impacts. This Reading-based EMS event … Continue reading

Posted in Conference, Research, Risk communication, Uncategorized, Weather prediction | Leave a comment

Identifying Flood Hazards in Real Time

SFFS currently have the capability to forecast flows “everywhere” in Scotland, at a 1km grid scale up to five days ahead, using the Grid to Grid model. This includes calculation of snow fall and melt, and the production of probabilistic … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrology, Risk communication | 2 Comments

Uncertainty in flooding predictions – can probabilistic forecasts help?

At a recent hydrology conference we ran an experiment in flood forecasting. The experiment investigated whether probabilistic information improved decision making. Participants were presented with six forecast hydrographs and were asked to decide whether to open the upstream flood gates … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 1 Comment