Category Archives: Forecasting

Surface water flood forecasting during the Commonwealth Games

Posted on October 7, 2014 by lindaspeight

We are pleased to report that the Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model ran successfully during the Commonwealth Games and throughout the summer. Luckily the weather during the Games was largely fine however there were occasions when the additional surface … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Surface Water | 3 Comments

Hydrometeorological forecasting and ex-tropical storm Bertha

Posted on August 15, 2014 by michaeldcranston

On Monday 11th August, the remnants of the ex-tropical storm Bertha brought heavy and very intense rain for many parts of northern Scotland. Early indications are that over 100 mm of rain was recorded over a 12 to 16 hour … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 3 Comments

Operational surface water flood forecasting model for Glasgow now live

Posted on July 14, 2014 by lindaspeight

After 18 months of hard work from ourselves, CEH Wallingford, Deltares, Met Office and the James Hutton Institute, our Glasgow surface water flood forecasting model is now operational (previous updates available here and here). We believe this is the UK’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Surface Water | 5 Comments

Staying alert in rain or shine

Posted on June 2, 2014 by Richard Maxey

Last summer our Met Office coordinator Pete Buchanan produced a couple of articles about surface water flooding. In the second article he explained how our Heavy Rainfall Alert (HRA) Tool works. Here he gives us an update on further development of … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication, Surface Water, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Forecasting from Sea to Shore (Part 1): Learning from the past

Posted on April 10, 2014 by michaeldcranston

In a winter that witnessed a succession of storms that have affected many parts of the UK, calls are being made to understand what lessons should be learnt in order to be better prepared for future storms.  Given the longevity … Continue reading →

Posted in Coastal, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 4 Comments

Behind the flood guidance: a meteorologist’s perspective

Posted on March 20, 2014 by michaeldcranston

Peter Sloss, one of the Met Office forecasters involved in the flood forecasting service, provides in inside view of the developing hydrometeorological service capabilities. “Weather forecasting and more specifically rainfall forecasting was so much simpler way back then, even going … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Coupling meteorological and hydrological forecasting models: the Canadian case

Posted on February 21, 2014 by michaeldcranston

In June 2013 the city of Calgary and state of Alberta witnessed devastating flooding with four fatalities and over 100,000 people evacuated from their homes. It’s difficult to comprehend flooding on this scale in Scotland but comparing this to the … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Meteorological forecast data: define what’s best!

Posted on February 5, 2014 by michaeldcranston

Following earlier posts on the Heavy Rainfall Alert tool, Peter Buchanan our Met Office forecasting service co-ordinator explains ‘what is best data!’ “The Met Office has had an operational numerical modelling capability for many years now. It runs a plethora … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, Probabilistic, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Surface water flood alerting: project update

Posted on November 20, 2013 by lindaspeight

In May we started a project to develop a pilot surface water alerting tool to use during the Commonwealth Games and to help inform our future plans for surface water flood forecasting in the SFFS. The first review stage of … Continue reading →

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Research, Surface Water, Weather prediction | 4 Comments

Coastal flood forecasting in Scotland: what’s new?

Posted on November 8, 2013 by michaeldcranston

Coastal flood forecasting has not featured much as a discussion topic on this site, which doesn’t truly reflect the growing work in this area.  Coastal flooding in Scotland represents 17% of the total flood risk in the country and flood warning … Continue reading →

Posted in Coastal, Forecasting | Leave a comment