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Category Archives: Forecasting
World Meteorological Day 2019
Happy World Meteorological Day! Saturday 23 March is World Meteorological Day 2019 and this year the World Meteorological Organisation has named the theme – ‘The Sun, the Earth and the Weather’. In the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service (SFFS) the weather services are provided … Continue reading
Posted in Communications, Forecasting, Weather prediction
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Medium Range Outlook for the Flood Guidance Statement
Since its inception in 2011 the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service has provided forecasts of flood risk out to five days, by way of the Flood Guidance Statement sent to the emergency response community. Since then the scope and accuracy of … Continue reading
Posted in Communications, Forecasting, SFFS
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Review of 2017-18 EFAS Messages
As reported in the article on the 13th annual meeting of the European Flood Awareness System partners, SEPA and the forecasting service are part of this international forecasting initiative, and receive notifications when flooding is expected. As part of our … Continue reading
Posted in EFAS, Forecasting, Surface Water
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Summer river flooding in Scotland
It had been a fairly quiet few months for the operational side of the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service, before heavy rain struck much of the country at the start of June, causing some significant flooding in the north east, and … Continue reading
Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Uncategorized
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Snowmelt forecasting capability within Grid-to-Grid
The formation and melting of snow can be a key component of river flows in the UK, particularly in upland areas. Different configurations of the countrywide Grid-to-Grid (G2G) model are used to deliver the snowmelt component, using different approaches for … Continue reading
Posted in Forecasting, G2G
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EFAS annual meeting in the Netherlands
Louise Parry recently attended the annual EFAS Partners meeting on behalf of SEPA and the forecasting service. She sends the following report. In March this year the Annual European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) Partners meeting took place in De Bilt, near … Continue reading
Posted in Conference, Forecasting, Uncategorized
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Storm Frank On Tour
Operationally it has been a fairly quiet last 12 months or so for the forecasting service. The interest in the events of winter 2015-16 still continues, however, particularly the floods resulting from Storm Frank at the very end of 2015. … Continue reading
Posted in Conference, Flood, Forecasting, Risk communication
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Hydrologists make the water go round – BHS international conference
I recently attended the 2016 international conference of the British Hydrological Society, at Cranfield University. There were a number of broad themes, including flood risk and water resource management, with most of the first day being given over to presentations … Continue reading
Posted in Conference, Flood, Forecasting, Uncategorized
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High Impact Weather and Climate Conference
High Impact Weather and Climate was the subject of the conference held by Royal Meteorological Society and National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Manchester last week. Members of the forecasting service attended, along with many colleagues from … Continue reading
Posted in Conference, Flood, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication
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Challenges and innovation towards the prediction of natural hazards
The 2016 European Geosciences Union General Assembly saw us co-convene our second PICO (Presenting Interactive Content) session on operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards. Along with several other sessions in hydrological forecasting there were plenty of take home … Continue reading
Posted in EGU, Flood, Forecasting, Natural Hazards
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