Author Archives: michaeldcranston

Hydrological Forecasting and Natural Hazards at EGU 2015

Attending the European Geosciences Union Assembly this year?  If you’re a first-time visitor to the event, which attracts over 12,000 delegates, then check out the GeoLog’s guide on what to expect. If you are attending then why not join us in our Thursday morning session … Continue reading


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#FRMis10: Future flood risk management strategies

When the inaugural SNIFFER Flood Risk Management conference was convened in 2005 many of the current approaches to flood risk management were very much in their infancy – if at all conceived. 10 years on and the ‘FRMis10’ conference agenda– … Continue reading

Posted in Coastal, Conference, Flood, Partnerships, Research, Risk communication, Surface Water | Leave a comment

Hydrometeorological forecasting and ex-tropical storm Bertha

On Monday 11th August, the remnants of the ex-tropical storm Bertha brought heavy and very intense rain for many parts of northern Scotland. Early indications are that over 100 mm of rain was recorded over a 12 to 16 hour … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, G2G, Hydrometeorology, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 3 Comments

Forecasting from Sea to Shore (Part 1): Learning from the past

In a winter that witnessed a succession of storms that have affected many parts of the UK, calls are being made to understand what lessons should be learnt in order to be better prepared for future storms.  Given the longevity … Continue reading

Posted in Coastal, Forecasting, Probabilistic, Risk communication | 4 Comments

Behind the flood guidance: a meteorologist’s perspective

Peter Sloss, one of the Met Office forecasters involved in the flood forecasting service, provides in inside view of the developing hydrometeorological service capabilities. “Weather forecasting and more specifically rainfall forecasting was so much simpler way back then, even going … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Mountain Hydrometeorology

Mountain weather can be highly variable in space and time and is often extreme, with implications for recreation, agriculture, industry, infrastructure and ecosystems. A national meeting of the Royal Meteorological Society is being held on Saturday 28 June and Sunday … Continue reading

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Coupling meteorological and hydrological forecasting models: the Canadian case

In June 2013 the city of Calgary and state of Alberta witnessed devastating flooding with four fatalities and over 100,000 people evacuated from their homes. It’s difficult to comprehend flooding on this scale in Scotland but comparing this to the … Continue reading

Posted in Flood, Forecasting, Hydrometeorology, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Meteorological forecast data: define what’s best!

Following earlier posts on the Heavy Rainfall Alert tool, Peter Buchanan our Met Office forecasting service co-ordinator explains ‘what is best data!’ “The Met Office has had an operational numerical modelling capability for many years now. It runs a plethora … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Probabilistic, Weather prediction | 1 Comment

Forecasts for the December 2013 Dumfriesshire Floods

Recovery activities are under way following the floods that badly affected parts of Dumfries and Galloway on Monday 29th December. Seven were rescued from their farmhouse after the River Nith flooded large parts of Nithsdale and Dumfries.  Flooding started in … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Coastal flood forecasting in Scotland: what’s new?

Coastal flood forecasting has not featured much as a discussion topic on this site, which doesn’t truly reflect the growing work in this area.  Coastal flooding in Scotland represents 17% of the total flood risk in the country and flood warning … Continue reading

Posted in Coastal, Forecasting | Leave a comment