https://floodforecastingservice.net/2025/08/28/exploring-the-use-of-artificial-intelligence-for-flood-forecasting-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/project-team-logos.jpgProject Team Logoshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/framework.jpgFrameworkhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/delugeai.pngDelugeAI2025-08-28T13:56:04+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2025/05/02/impact-based-forecasting-ai-and-communicating-uncertainties-opportunities-for-forecasting-and-warning/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/img_5278.jpegIMG_5278https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/img_5292.jpegIMG_5292https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/img_5243.jpegIMG_52432025 EGU General Assembly attracting nearly 20,000 science abstracts2025-05-02T20:07:13+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2024/10/24/new-surface-water-flood-forecasting-tool-for-scotland-now-operational/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/babet-predictor.jpgBabet Predictorhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/predictor-system.jpgPredictor systemhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/flood-risk-matrix-used-by-the-sffs-for-the-fgs.pngFlood-Risk-Matrix-used-by-the-SFFS-for-the-FGS2024-10-24T14:51:44+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2023/05/21/life-on-the-edge-of-extreme-natural-hazards-in-remote-northern-europe/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/iceland-workshop.jpgiceland-workshophttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/iceland.jpgicelandhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/imo-warnings.jpgimo-warnings2023-05-21T14:00:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2022/11/17/surface-water-flood-forecasting-where-next/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/framework-cover.jpgframework-cover2022-11-17T09:01:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2022/05/10/multi-hazards-and-emergent-risks-in-northern-europes-remote-regions-oslo-workshop/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/nve5.jpgnve5https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/nve4.jpgnve4https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/nve3.jpgnve3https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/nve1.jpgNVE12022-06-15T12:58:28+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2021/05/04/the-challenges-of-the-mountain-environment-to-flood-forecasting/2022-02-23T13:16:45+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2021/03/11/a-look-back-on-a-decade-of-challenges-and-achievements-for-the-scottish-flood-forecasting-service/2021-03-11T19:16:04+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2021/02/16/snow-melt-and-hydrometric-observations-perspectives-for-flood-forecasting/2021-02-19T18:55:41+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2020/12/17/how-do-scotlands-mountains-affect-its-rainfall/2020-12-23T14:03:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2020/12/07/operational-forecasting-and-hazard-early-warning-systems-call-for-abstracts-at-vegu21/2020-12-28T22:16:20+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2020/11/11/new-coastal-flood-forecasting-system-for-eilean-siar-goes-live/2020-11-11T14:17:33+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2020/09/25/exploring-an-impact-based-approach-to-flood-forecasting/2020-09-26T10:31:14+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2020/05/27/operational-forecasting-across-the-globe-sharing-science-at-egu20/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/hype.pngHYPEhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/ceh-water-resources.pngCEH water resourceshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/speight-et-al.pngSpeight et al2020-05-27T18:14:53+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2019/05/17/royal-meteorology-society-award-for-the-scottish-flood-forecasting-service/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/overall_risk_10thjune.jpgoverall_risk_10thjune2019-05-17T12:35:22+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2019/04/02/scottish-flood-forecasting-service-annual-report/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/capture.pngCapture2019-04-02T13:11:29+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2019/03/21/world-meteorological-day-2019/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/3df23ef200e39fd55078a7ae219a771d.jpg3df23ef200e39fd55078a7ae219a771dhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/103854439_mediaitem103854438.jpg_103854439_mediaitem1038544382019-03-21T08:26:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/10/26/using-the-flood-risk-matrix-two-october-events/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/blog-3.jpgblog 3Extract from Flood Guidance Statementhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/blog-2.jpgblog 2Flooding in Obanhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/blog-1.jpgblog 12018-10-26T08:19:57+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/05/18/medium-range-outlook-for-the-flood-guidance-statement/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/fgs.jpgfgshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/hurricane_ophelia.pnghurricane_opheliahttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/surge.jpgsurge2018-05-18T12:11:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/04/25/studentship-opportunity-snow-monitoring-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/picture1.pngPicture12018-04-25T07:51:49+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/03/27/review-of-2017-18-efas-messages/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/efas-slide.jpgEFAS slide2018-03-27T08:41:22+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/03/22/world-meteorological-day-2018/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/user-guide-front-page-photo-2014.jpgUser guide front page photo 20142018-03-22T15:38:26+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/03/21/flood-warning-dissemination-system-administrator-vacancy-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/fw-in-service-deliverables.pngFW in Service Deliverables2018-03-21T09:54:11+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/03/21/hydrometeorologist-vacancy-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/alyth.pngalyth2018-03-21T09:19:21+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2018/03/20/efas-13th-annual-meeting-in-sweden/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/efas2.jpgEFAS2https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/efas1.jpgEFAS12018-03-20T09:26:27+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2017/11/23/ready-for-winter-new-flooding-communications-programme/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/winter-flood-facebook-valuables.jpgWinter Flood Facebook valuables2017-11-23T08:55:26+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2017/06/14/summer-river-flooding-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/g2g.pngg2gGrid-to-Grid forecast on previous day and range of forecasts for River Narinhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/floodpic.pngfloodpicFigure 4: Portsoy in Aberdeenshire (photo from The Scotsman)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/fgs.pngfgsArea of Concern map for Tues 6 June Flood Guidance Statementhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/det-forecasts.pngdet forecastsPeak 24 hour rainfall totals forecast on Sun, Mon and Tues for Tues 6/ Weds 7 June2017-06-20T07:55:28+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2017/04/27/snowmelt-forecasting-capability-within-grid-to-grid/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/g2gzones.pngg2gzoneshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/g2gwsnow.pngG2Gwsnowhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/blog-pic-compariosns-snow.jpgblog-pic-compariosns-snowhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/blog-pic-r2-snow.jpgblog-pic-r2-snowComparison of streamflow modelled from different snowmelt methods. G2GSH is current Scotland methos. G2GSH-new is recommended new calibration. NWP-JULES is current England and Wales method. 2017-04-27T12:59:35+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2017/04/18/efas-annual-meeting-in-the-netherlands/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/dsc_0170.jpgDSC_0170https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/dsc_0171.jpgDSC_01712017-04-18T08:59:16+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2017/03/22/storm-frank-on-tour/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/fullsizerender.jpgFullSizeRenderhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/karen2.jpgKaren22017-03-22T09:48:54+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/09/12/hydrologists-make-the-water-go-round-bhs-international-conference/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/img_2608.jpgimg_2608https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/img_2610.jpgimg_26102016-09-12T10:28:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/07/15/high-impact-weather-and-climate-conference/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/rmets-blog2.jpgrmets blog2Liz Bentley from RMetS introduces the conferencehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/rmets-blog1.pngrmets blog1(L) Mike Cranston discusses the Flood Guidance Statement during the 'Perfecting the Weather Warnings' workshop. (R) Louise Parry discusses the SFFS poster with Steve Cole from CEH.2016-07-15T14:54:39+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/04/26/challenges-and-innovation-towards-the-prediction-of-natural-hazards/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/gfn_heatmap.jpgGFN_heatmapReal-time monitoring of floods using social media.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/surface-water-flood-forecasting.jpgSurface water flood forecastingPICO presentation on the forecasting of surface water flooding hazard and impact in real-time in the UK.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/project-noah.jpgProject NOAHProject NOAH in the Philippines is a science research and development initiative to aid disaster prevention and mitigation efforts through the use of innovativehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/pico-session.jpgPICO sessionDelegates at the PICO session on operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards at the 2016 General Assembly of the EGU. 13,650 scientists from 109 countries attended the event during the six days between 17 and 22 April.2016-04-27T05:51:30+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/04/17/sffs-at-the-efas-annual-meeting-april-2016/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/frank_slide.jpgfrank_slideExample slide from joint SFFS-FFC presentation showing the EFAS forecast and and SFFS flood guidance information & forecasts for Storm Frankhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/river_auth11.jpgRiver_auth1The beautiful office location and Ops Room of the Guadalquivir river authority, Seville. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160406_190755.jpg20160406_190755https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160406_191239.jpg20160406_191239https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/sam_5911.jpgSFFS- FFC presentationSFFS- FFC presentation on Storm Desmond and Frankhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/received_10101460039247053-e1460931105298.jpegreceived_10101460039247053https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160407_191117.jpg20160407_191117Home of the Guadalquivir river authority!!!! https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160407_132855.jpg20160407_132855https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160407_120803.jpg20160407_120803https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160406_190009.jpg20160406_1900092016-04-18T23:12:35+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/03/15/storm-frank-short-range-forecast-performance/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure-6_v2.jpgFigure 6_v2Figure 6: Forecast and observed discharge and catchment average 3 hour rainfall totals for the River Dee at Polhollick. The observed precipitation is composite (gauge and radar) rainfall from G2G, the forecasts precipitation are from UKV runs at 0900hr, 1200hr and 0000hr for G2G simulations at 13:55 and 18:35 on the 29-12-15 and 07:30 on 30-12-15.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure72.jpgFigure7Figure 7: Forecast and observed discharge and catchment average 3 hour rainfall totals for the River Cree at Newton Stewart. The observed precipitation is composite rainfall from G2G, the forecasts precipitation are from UKV runs at 0900hr, 1200hr and 0000hr for G2G simulations at 13:55 and 18:35 on the 29-12-15 and 07:30 on 30-12-15 respectively. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure21.jpgFigure2Figure 2: The Flood Guidance Statement (FGS) maps issued ahead of the event on the 29th-30th December, and a map of public reported incidents of flooding associated with storm Frank. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure6.jpgFigure6https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure3.jpgFigure3Figure 3: MODIS imagery (courtesy of NEODAAS/University of Dundee) for (a) 1300hrs 27th December, 2015, and (b) 1300hrs 29th December, 2015. NB- in the second image the ground extent of snow cover is obscured by cloud cover, however, the reduction in snowcover can be seen by comparing the images for the north of Scotland. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/table1.jpgTable1Table 1: Current best estimate of observed Q and time of peak on the 30th December, 2015, recorded in WISKI at several locations across Scotland, and the performance of the three G2G forecasts at these locations prior to the event peak. Forecasts 1 and 2 (F1 and F2) were run at 13:45 and 18:30 on the 29/12/ 2015, and F3 at 07:30 on 30/12-2015. Difference of the forecast peaks and timings to the observed at given as percentage difference for flow, and fraction of an hour for time. *value for observed peak is based on the current rating and could be subject to review.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure5.jpgFigure5Figure 4: 24 hour rainfall totals recorded during storm Frank from 0900hrs on 29th December, 2015. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure4.jpgFigure4https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure3a.jpgFigure3aFigure 3: MODIS imagery (courtesy of NEODAAS/University of Dundee) for (a) 1300hrs 27th December, 2015, and (b) 1300hrs 29th December, 2015. NB- in the second image the ground extent of snow cover is obscured by cloud cover, however, the reduction in snowcover can be seen by comparing the images for the north of Scotland. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/figure2b.jpgFigure2b2016-03-20T09:03:58+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/02/19/storm-frank-how-was-the-medium-range-flood-guidance/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/frank-postage.jpgFrank postageMOGREPS Forecast Charts for 1200Z Tuesday 29 Dec Demonstrate a consistent signal for deep low pressure to be located just to the west of the British Isles. Note that whilst the signal is consistent there is greater uncertainty as to the low’s precise location.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/frank-det-rain.jpgFrank det rainBoxing Day: 12Z UKPP Forecast 24-hour Precipitation accumulations for Wednesday 30th Shows locally very large forecast rainfall totals over W and SW Scotland. Note the ‘finger’ of intense totals towards the southern Grampian mountains. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/frank-jet.jpgFrank jetUM broadscale 300hPa gph wind speeds for 0001Z Wednesday 30 Dec Note the buckled jet extending NE’wards towards W UK, with a marked left exit (development area) lying close to NW UK at that time.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/frank-mog-g.jpgFrank Mog g27 December: MOGREPS probability of rainfall totals >50mm (left) 24hr to 18Z Wednesday 30th December. Note emphasis for highest rainfall over Western Scotland and Dumfries and Galloway where probabilities over 60% are indicated.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/frank-fgs.jpgFrank fgsSummary Flood Guidance Statement maps for the days leading up to the event on Dec 30.2016-02-19T11:20:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2016/02/03/rains-radar-applications-in-northern-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/x-band-deployment.jpgX Band deploymentThe mobile X Band radar deployed at Kinloss Barracks in Moray (left) and initial quantitative precipitation estimates on the 2nd February when flooding occurred across Ross-shire.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/storm-frank-rainfall-radar-2.jpgStorm Frank rainfall radar (2)Caption: 24 hour quantitative precipitation estimates from radar across Scotland for Storm Frank (29th – 30th December 2015). Typical catchment average rainfall exceeded 80 mm in 24 hours for the Upper Dee, with some point estimates of 150 mm. All background radar data © Met Office.2016-02-03T12:46:56+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/12/17/the-2005-teviot-floods-then-and-now/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/newcastleton-g2g-prediction-for-storm-desmond.jpgNewcastleton G2G prediction for Storm DesmondThe Grid-to-Grid flow predictions for the Liddel at Newcastleton with a observed peak being recorded at 254 cumecs being closest to the minimum flow ensemble member in these forecasts.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/rainfall-for-the-teviot-floods.jpgRainfall for the Teviot floodsHourly rainfall recorded across the Southern Uplands. 48 hour accumulation for the 2005 flood (111mm) and the 2015 flood (96mm). Data courtesy of SEPA.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/meteorological-forecasts-then-and-now.jpgMeteorological forecasts then and nowAn example of one of the 2005 severe weather warnings for the Scottish Borders, at this time the service was based on fixed rainfall triggers (left). By comparison tools such as MOGREPS-UK that are used now provide guidance on predicted likelihood of a range of rainfall depth-duration, in this case 40mm in 6 hours, with 70% likelihood across the Southern Borders for Storm Desmond (right). Copyright Met Office.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/teviotcrailingtoftsfarmnt69692522.jpgTeviot@CrailingToftsFarmNT69692522The River Teviot in Crailing in Roxburghshire recording its highest river level on a record spanning 55 years. Copyright Ali Graham Photography.2015-12-17T12:24:53+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/12/14/storm-desmond-scotlands-first-red-flood-risk/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/desmond-flows.jpgdesmond flowshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/201512060000_u1096_ng_ume4_precip2520_accum1440_2km_1_11.png201512060000_u1096_ng_ume4_precip2520_accum1440_2km_1_1[1]https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/radar_animation.gifradar_animationhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/g2gspatial.jpgg2gspatialhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/raintable.jpgraintablehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/charts.jpgchartshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/fgs.jpgfgshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/floodpix.jpgfloodpixhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/hra.jpgHRAhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/g2g.jpgg2g2015-12-14T12:18:47+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/11/12/decision-making-in-times-of-uncertainty-the-crying-wolf/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/nikeh.pngNikehAs part of her M.Sc. thesis research in Flood Risk Management Nikéh did a part of her research in SEPA. The research focussed on decision making under uncertainty with an outlook on improving decision making based on the cost-loss method. Nikéh continues working in the field of Flood Risk Management with her company FloodCom. https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/timeleveluncertainty.jpgTime+LevelUncertaintyTiming and level uncertainty in flood prediction makes it hard to decide. The longer the lead-time the higher the uncertainty (Source: N.Booister M.Sc. thesis)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/dsc_0169-low-wood-road.jpgDSC_0169 - Low Wood RoadIn possible flood situations Aberdeenshire Council can pull out the demountable defences to protect Stonehaven from flooding. Nevertheless at the moment a decision has to be made it is not sure if the event will actually materialise but due to time limitations the decision has to be made. (Source: Aberdeenshire Council, 2014)2015-11-18T19:37:20+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/11/12/decision-making-in-times-of-uncertainty-the-forecaster/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/2015-sep-23_7043.jpg2015 Sep 23_7043https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/24hourprecip_2-probability72.jpg24HourPrecip_2.probability72Meteorological and hydrological tools such as MOGREPS and Grid-to-Grid provide the forecaster with the opportunity to quantify uncertainty in flood predictions. Image of MOGREPS-G and probability of greater than 25mm in 24 hours ahead of ex-Hurricane Kate (Copyright Met Office)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/pr-pic.jpgPR pic2015-11-12T19:26:28+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/10/07/flood-forecasting-current-challenges-and-future-aspirations/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/img_3029.jpgIMG_3029Prototype fluvial flood risk forecast maps using G2G hydrological ensembles in conjunction with NFRA flood impact data presented for flooding affecting Prestwick Airport in 2012. (Photos left source: Prestwick Airport; Maps right source: CEH Wallingford)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/ecmwfm_probability_ffc_scotland.pngecmwfm_probability_ffc_scotlandCoastal decider tool providing a 32-day look at the probability of coastal flooding related weather types. (source: Met Office)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/coastal-impacts-decision-support.jpgCoastal impacts decision supportPilot capability for a risk-based coastal decision support tool. (source: Environment Agency)2015-10-07T11:01:13+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/08/27/heavy-rainfall-alerts-latest-advances/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/hra-table-png.jpghra table.pnghttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/hra-pix.jpghra pix2015-08-27T13:22:01+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/07/23/the-july-perthshire-floods-hydrometeorological-predictions/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/figure-4-fgs-area-of-concern-map-published-16th-july.pngFigure 4 FGS area of concern map published 16th JulyFigure 4: The Flood Guidance Statement area of concern map issued to emergency responders on the 16th July.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/figure-3-g2g-for-17th-july-perthshire-floods.pngFigure 3 G2G for 17th July Perthshire floodsFigure 3: G2G (a 1km distributed hydrological model for Scotland) highlighting areas of greater than 60% of ensemble members above the 2-year warning level (left) and model predictions and observed flows for the Craighall gauging station.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/figure-2-meteorological-forecasts-for-the-17th-july.pngFigure 2 Meteorological forecasts for the 17th JulyFigure 2: UKV model estimates for rainfall accumulation in 6 hours to midday on the 17th July with a lead time of 24 hours (left) and MOGREPS-UK probability of exceeding 30mm in 6 hours with a lead time of 35 hours (right)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/figure-1-flooding-in-alyth-on-the-17th-july-2015.jpgFigure 1 Flooding in Alyth on the 17th July 2015Figure 1: Flooding impacts in Alyth. Clockwise from the top: Cars swept along Commercial Street in Alyth (source: Angus Forbes Photography); flood waters into properties (source: Michelle Macleod); and debris and damage caused by the Alyth Burn (source: Perthshire Picture Agency)2015-07-23T14:11:05+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/07/10/surface-water-flooding-in-aberdeen/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/forecasts1.jpgforecastshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/synoptic1.jpgsynoptichttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/forecasts.jpgforecastshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/flood-pic-aberdeen-1.pngflood pic Aberdeen 1https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/fgs-aoc.jpgFGS AOChttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/synoptic.jpgsynoptichttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/hyrad-3hr.pngHyrad 3hr2015-07-10T08:15:09+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/05/20/the-european-flood-awareness-system-2015-annual-meeting/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/picture11.jpgPicture1https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/picture2.jpgPicture2https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/picture1.jpgPicture1https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/000_ts-par7883585.jpgTOPSHOTS-BOSNIA-FLOODShttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/img_2562.jpgIMG_2562https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/efas-map.jpgefas mapEFAS summary map showing alerts in the Alpshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/img_2580.jpgERCC control roomERCC control room2015-05-20T14:02:55+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/05/14/hydrology-of-scotland-some-hydrometric-perspectives/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/feshie.pngFeshieFigure 5. Native forest regeneration in Glen Feshie (Scottish Association of Geography Teachers)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/bhs-paper.pngBHS paperFigure 4. Scottish gauging station numbers by reason for opening – Cranston & Black (1995) Proc. BHS National Hydrology Symposium, Heriot-Watt Universityhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/ardessie-data.pngArdessie dataFigure 2 (left). Rainfall profiles for 10-11/11/2014 – data courtesy of SEPA/Phil Wild. Figure 3 (right). Rainfall (blue circle) and river level/flow sites (orange marker) close to the Ardessie Burn (yellow star). Mapping copyright/database right Edina/OS 2015.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/berth-storm.pngBerth StormFigure 1. Ardessie Burn on 11 August 2014 – pictures © Helen Meekhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/andrew-black.jpgOLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERAAndrew Black is Programme Director for the MSc course in Catchment Hydrology & Management at the University of Dundee. Since successfully defending his PhD at St Andrews in 1992, he was worked on a wide spectrum of hydrological projects – from flood to drought and science to management and policy – mostly on Scottish rivers.2015-05-14T11:26:08+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/05/11/the-climatology-of-scotland-four-seasons-in-one-day/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/martyn.jpgMartynMartyn Sunter is Observations Quality Manager at the Met Office in Edinburgh.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig9.pngFig9Fig 9. Annual average number of days of snow lying between 1981 and 2010.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig6-7.pngFig6-7Fig 6 (left). Analysis charts for 26th January 2003. Fig 7 (right). Maximum air temperature between 0900UTC on 26 January 2003 and 0900UTC on 27 January 2003https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig8.pngFig8Fig. 8. Annual average sunshine duration between 1981 and 2010.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig7.pngFig7Fig 7. Maximum air temperature between 0900UTC on 26 January 2003 and 0900UTC on 27 January 2003https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig-6.pngFig 6Fig 6. Analysis charts for 26th and 27th January 2003.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig4-5.pngFig4-5Figs 4 (left) and 5 (right). Annual average maximum and minimum temperature between 1981 and 2010.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig2-3.pngFig2-3Fig 2 (left). Analysis chart for 0600UTC on Saturday 07th March 2015. Fig 3 (right). 4-day total precipitation amount from 6th to 10th March 2015https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/fig-1.pngFig 1Fig 1. Annual average rainfall amount between 1981 and 2010.2015-05-11T15:12:02+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/04/26/natural-hazards-prediction-and-early-warning-on-various-scales/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/glenogle-landslide.pngGlenOgle LandslideThe Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) have developed a combined early warning system for flooding and landslide risk. (Picture: Glen Ogle landslides - source bbc.co.uk)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/boards.pngboardsWeSenseIt is an initiative encouraging citizen observatories to allow to reporting of parameters such as flood levels and river discharge.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/ewatercycle.jpgeWaterCyclePresentation by Nick van de Giesen (Delft University of Technology) on eWaterCycle: A global operational hydrological forecasting model.2015-04-26T10:24:37+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/04/21/game-over/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/end-game-graphic.pngEnd Game graphicThe use of high resolution numerical weather prediction in daily flood forecasting risk assessment.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/peter-buchanan.jpgPeter BuchananPeter Buchanan (right) is a meteorologist at the Met Office and has over 40 years experience of working in weather forecasting and recently applying science developments in an operational environment.2015-04-21T17:46:04+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/04/08/hydrological-forecasting-and-natural-hazards-at-egu-2015/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/egu2.jpgEGU2The General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union held at the Austria Centre Vienna between the 12th and 17th April 2015.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/egu-session-on-natural-hazard-warning.jpgEGU session on Natural Hazard WarningPICO session on operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards: challenges and innovation (HS4.6/NH1.2)2015-04-08T07:02:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/03/13/grid-to-grid-performance-during-a-hydrologically-significant-event-in-the-north-west/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/hydrograph1.jpghydrographhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/table1.jpgtablehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/inverness.jpginvernesshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/rf.jpgrfhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/spatial.jpgspatialhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/table.jpgtablehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/hydrograph.jpghydrographhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/48hr-rainfall.png48hr rainfall2015-03-16T09:19:47+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/08/15/hydrometeorological-forecasting-and-ex-tropical-storm-bertha/2015-02-20T22:52:21+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2015/02/05/frmis10-future-flood-risk-management-strategies/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/speight-crew-project-2.jpgSpeight CREW project 2New approaches to urban surface water flood forecasting using hydrometeorological modelling and impact assesments to support hazard alerting.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/kaye-coastal-2.jpgKaye Coastal 2Coastal flood forecasting in Scotland: future developments include new systems and utilisation of ensemble data2015-02-05T12:41:47+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/12/23/the-scottish-flood-forecasting-service-2014-in-review/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/holly3.jpghttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/holly2.jpghttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/photo.jpgExeter science visitMembers of the SFFS in The Street at Met Office Exeter during a knowledge/science exchange visit in November 2014https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/moray-floods.jpegMoray FloodsTrain services between Inverness and Aberdeen were disrupted in August given flooding to the track through various stretches in Moray (source: Moray Radio online).2014-12-23T14:05:56+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/12/18/the-december-weather-bomb-over-warned-or-better-prepared/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/weather-network.jpgweather networkThe Weather Network joining in the media interest with their infographic for the coastal flood risk on Wednesday 10th December. SEPA issued Flood Alerts for coastal flood risk for the coastline from Dumfries and Galloway up to the Shetland Islands.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/wave-ens.jpgwave ensPredictions from the Met Office trial wave ensemble system from Monday 8th December for the Cefas WaveNet site off the West of Hebrides. The highest wave recorded previously was 14.XX m in a record dating back to 2008.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/stenness.jpgstennessThe island of Stenness in Shetland faces the brunt of the significant Atlantic waves in the december storm (source: Express.co.uk)2014-12-18T09:08:11+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/11/03/radar-coverage-and-suitability-for-flood-forecasting-in-scotland/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/201109010000_gauge_comp_pod.png201109010000_gauge_comp_podProbability of Detection (POD) of rainfall by radar compared to raingauge showing difference in radar quality in the Central Belt compared to other areasd of Scotlandhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/dudwick_trig_-_geograph_org_uk_-_73434.jpgHill of Dudwick Radarhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/radar-coverage.gifUK radar coverageUK Radar Coveragehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/radar-bands-in-great-glen.jpgradar bands in great glen2014-10-31T15:53:41+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/10/29/extreme-rainfall-in-the-west-highlands-a-flood-forecasting-challenge/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/table.jpgtablehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/fgs.jpgfgshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/gf1.jpggfhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/gf.jpggfhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/weekend.jpgweekendhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/synoptic.jpgsynoptic2014-10-30T08:32:29+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/science/2014-10-14T08:32:51+00:00weekly0.6https://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/10/07/surface-water-flood-forecasting-during-the-commonwealth-games/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/3rd-aug-forecast.png3rd Aug forecastFEWS Glasgow forecasts for afternoon of Sunday 3rd August 2014. Photographs show the conditions at the Games at this time. The risk level had been increased as we got closer to the event as the likelihood increased. There were reports of minor impacts across Glasgow over the weekend. (photo credit: www.eveningtimes.co.uk, www.sportsjournalists.co.uk)2014-10-01T17:57:05+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/09/09/forecasting-from-sea-to-shore-part-2-forecasting-flooding-from-waves/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/portmahomack.jpgWave Overtopping at PortmahomackWaves overtopping the harbour wall at Portmahomack during December 2012 storm.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/02-lossie-storm-barry-peach.jpgWave Overtopping at LossiemouthWaves overtopping the sea wall at Lossiemouth during the December 2012 storm, causing severe structural damage and flooding a park.2014-09-09T09:26:37+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/09/05/bhs-2014-challenging-hydrological-theory-and-practice-and-calling-for-better-communicators/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/bhs-logo.pngBHS logohttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/bhs.jpgBHSConference delegates testing out the EA remote controlled ARC-boats for river gauging and learning about Birmingham Universitiy's recirculation stream systems2014-09-05T14:52:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/07/14/operational-surface-water-flood-forecasting-model-for-glasgow-now-live/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/surface-water-flow-chart-v2.jpgsurface water flow chartThe surface water flood risk assessment methodologyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/surface-water-flow-chart.jpgsurface water flow chartThe surface water flood risk assessment methodology2014-07-28T16:40:58+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/06/02/staying-alert-in-rain-or-shine/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/ukv1.jpgUKV1UKV deterministic forecast, 3hr accumulationshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/radar1.jpgradar1https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/mog1.jpgMOGREPS-UKprobability of 15mm in 1hrhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/hra1.jpgHRA Toolprobability of 15mm in 1 hr within each squarehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/fgs1.jpgFGS for 10/5/14https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/chart11.jpgchart1https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/aoc1.jpgArea of Concern map on FGS2014-06-02T11:02:50+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/04/25/engaging-with-hydrometeorology-across-europe/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/nhp.jpgNHPhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/efas.jpgEFAShttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/image4.jpegimage[4]https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/image7.jpegimage[7]https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/photo.jpgphoto2014-04-25T08:54:18+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/04/10/forecasting-from-sea-to-shore-part-1-learning-from-the-past/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/oban.jpgObanFlooding of the sea front in Oban (Source: Twitter/@mairiwatson1)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/leith-surge-ensemble.pngLeith surge ensemblePredicted ensemble surge elevation for Leith from 4th December 2013.2014-04-10T19:55:44+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/03/20/behind-the-flood-guidance-a-meteorologists-perspective/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/dumfries-flooding.jpgDumfries floodingFlooding on the Nith in Dumfries during December. Environment Minister, Paul Wheelhouse: "I was extremely impressed by how well prepared all the authorities were - aided by the timely and accurate flood forecasts from the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service (Source: BBC). https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/s-brooks-operational-forecaster.jpgS Brooks operational forecasterOne of the operational meteorologists providing support for the daily production of the flood guidance statement in Scotland.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/p-sloss-bbc-weather-2.jpgP Sloss BBC Weather 2Peter Sloss is a meteorological forecaster at the Met Office and has over 30 years experience of the provision of forecasting services including BBC Scotland. Peter has been one of the core flood forecasting service team from the start in 2011.2014-03-20T18:37:46+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/03/12/mountain-hydrometeorology/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/rmets.jpgrmetsThis national meeting of the Royal Met. Society is being held jointly with the Scottish Local Centre at the A K Bell library in Perth2014-03-14T21:21:17+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/02/21/coupling-meteorological-and-hydrological-forecasting-models-the-canadian-case/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/image2.jpgimageFlooding affecting parts of the City of Calgary, Alberta (Source: Accuweather.com)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/image1.jpgimageAccumulated precipitation contours showing the June 19–22, 2013 rainfall event within Alberta's Rockies and the foothills that triggered the flooding (Source: Wikipedia)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/image.jpgimageIn Calgary, the rivers flooded neighbourhoods, including the downtown, leading to large economic and insured losses. SERTIT provided rapid snapshot of the flood footprint over the area of Calgary using satellite images for the insurance industries.2014-02-21T23:36:50+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2014/02/05/meteorological-forecast-data-define-whats-best/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/best-data.jpgBest data2014-02-05T16:48:19+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/12/31/forecasts-for-the-december-2013-dumfriesshire-floods/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/mogreps.jpgMogrepshttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/dumfries.jpgDumfries2013-12-31T14:46:12+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/11/20/surface-water-flood-alerting-project-update/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/surface-water-alerting-method.pngSurface water alerting methodOutline methodology for the projecthttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/site_visit_pics1.pngGlasgow Site VisitMembers of the project science team visiting vulnerable surface water flooding locations in Glasgow2013-11-20T20:30:29+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/11/08/coastal-flood-forecasting-in-scotland-whats-new/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/fort-william.jpgFort WilliamThe Crannog Pier and Restaurant in Fort William. The new forecasting system will predict surge propogation up Loch Linnhe to the communities of Corpach and Caol.https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/oban.jpgObanFlooding on the promenade in Oban during the 1960's. A new coastal flood forecasting system has been developed to forecast surge and wave conditions that may lead to flooding. Images courtesy of Richard Brown (Head of Hydrology, SEPA)https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/crannog.jpgCrannoghttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/crannog-flood.jpgCrannog flood2013-11-08T19:18:31+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/10/31/tracking-medium-range-flow-forecasts-from-day-to-day/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/wester-cardean1.jpgWester Cardeanhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/wester-cardean.jpgWester Cardeanhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/table.pngtablehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/aoc.jpgaochttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/wc-flows.jpgWC flows2013-11-04T12:30:41+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/10/11/forecasting-with-higher-resolution-rainfall-forecasts-this-winters-first-test/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/mrr2.jpgmrrhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/picture1.jpgPicture1Figure 1 - Transformation of MOGREPS feeds for use by SFFS https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/clip_image002.jpgclip_image002Ensemble flow forecast from G2G. Solid blue is gauged flow, red is deterministic forecast, shaded is ensemble envelopehttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/mrr1.jpgmrrhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/graph.jpggraphhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/mrr.jpgmrr2013-10-15T14:44:17+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/09/22/international-conference-on-flood-resilience-and-an-award-for-the-sffs/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/icfr-posters.jpgICFR postersThe SFFS poster and other contributions at ICFR2013-10-14T13:09:34+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/04/16/egu-general-assembly-2013/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/image4.jpgEGUEGU presentation on the science and policy supporting flash flood forecasting in Scotland.2013-09-15T21:12:52+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/09/10/high-impact-weather-the-role-of-the-forecaster-and-verification-2/2013-09-10T16:30:34+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/09/09/high-impact-weather-working-in-partnership/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/image.jpgFirst guess warningsRob Neal presenting ensemble-based first guess warnings in support of the risk-based UK National Severe Weather Warning Service.2013-09-10T16:25:01+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/08/31/hydrometeorological-science-forecasting-in-rapid-response-catchments/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/g2g-for-blog.jpgG2G forecasts using STEPSPredicting ahead: a strong signal for extreme flows ahead of the 19th November 2012 flood peak on the Ruchill Water in Comrie. Observed flow hydrograph (blue), G2G simulation using raingauge input (red) and G2G ensemble simulations using STEPS rainfall predictions (green). Image © CEH Wallingford.2013-08-31T12:30:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/08/05/recent-flood-impacts-and-forecasts-how-well-did-we-do/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/fgs_map_25july.pngFGS_map_25julyDaily assessment of flood risk from the FGShttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/glasgow-impacts.pngGlasgow impactsFlooding impacts in Glasgow and Greenock on 25th July 2013 Clockwise from top left a) London Road (BBC News), b) Bookies in Greenock (STV News), c) East Hamilton Street (STV News) , d) Broughton Road (BBC News) https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/risk-matrix.pngSFFS Risk MatrixThe hatched area on the risk matrix shows the type of flood risk forecast over the past week2013-08-06T08:55:09+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/07/25/surface-water-flood-alerting-for-the-commonwealth-games/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/clyde.jpgClydeClyde - The Glasgow 2014 Games Mascothttps://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/flooding-sherwood-nottingham-july-2013.jpgFlooding Sherwood Nottingham July 2013Photo shows the impact of recent surface water flooding in Nottingham in July 2013 (BBC News)2013-07-26T16:41:15+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/07/18/conference-season/2013-07-19T08:46:56+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/07/15/quick-as-a-flash-part-2/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/hra-output1.jpgHRA output2013-07-15T17:06:42+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/07/04/quick-as-a-flash-part-1/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/20130704-150838.jpg20130704-150838.jpg2013-07-10T13:50:06+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/07/05/identifying-flood-hazards-in-real-time/https://floodforecastingservice.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/blog.jpgblogExample of a G2G gridded hydrological forecast (right) and the hazard impact mapping based on categories such as human health, the economy and transport which SEPA are currently developing (left). The project will develop a prototype to merge these capabilities which will ultimately support the Flood Guidance Statement use of the risk matrix based on risk and impact.2013-07-09T18:31:41+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/2013/05/18/uncertainty-in-flooding-predictions/2013-05-18T13:41:53+00:00monthlyhttps://floodforecastingservice.net/about/2013-04-16T18:30:22+00:00weekly0.6https://floodforecastingservice.netdaily1.02025-08-28T13:56:04+00:00